In June, the National Board of Revenue (NBR) faces a daunting task to meet its revised revenue target of Tk410,000 crore for FY24, needing to collect Tk76,622 crore—more than double its monthly average of Tk29,489 crore from July to May. Despite a moderate overall revenue growth of about 15% year-on-year, the recent VAT collection drop led to a May growth rate of below 9%, the lowest in 11 months. Experts, including Towfiqul Islam Khan from the Centre for Policy Dialogue, attribute this shortfall to ambitious revenue targets set without considering NBR’s operational capacity. Economists like Ahsan H Mansur predict a potential shortfall of Tk40,000 crore even against the revised target of Tk4.10 lakh crore allocated to NBR. Factors contributing to revenue growth include increased import tax collections, boosted by currency devaluation and higher local market prices, alongside the implementation of new income tax regulations.
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