Yields on Bangladesh’s government securities have sharply declined in February, with rates falling nearly two percentage points since December, reaching just over 10%. In the latest auctions, banks submitted bids significantly exceeding government targets—Tk22,389 crore for a Tk4,000 crore five-year bond and Tk8,072 crore for a Tk3,500 crore 91-day bill—forcing the central bank to lower rates to 10.47% and 10.35%, respectively. This decline, driven by excess liquidity and weak private sector loan demand, suggests a likely reduction in lending rates, stimulating investment and curbing inflation. The Bangladesh Bank, keeping its policy rate at 10%, may revise it downward soon. Banks’ liquidity positions have improved, with excess liquid assets rising by Tk19,000 crore in six months. Meanwhile, liquidity support from the central bank has declined, with Tk17,000 crore utilized from a Tk23,500 crore special support fund. The IMF forecasts further global monetary policy easing, reinforcing Bangladesh’s expected rate adjustments.
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