India’s share in Bangladesh’s trade has declined since April 2024 due to import restrictions and consumer boycotts, while China’s share has grown. According to BBS data, India’s import share fell from 16.29% in March to 11.81% in July, whereas China’s rose from 23.48% in April to 29.36% in July. The U.S. also overtook India as Bangladesh’s second-largest trading partner in July. Economists attribute India’s decline to political tensions following Bangladesh’s January 2024 election and China’s aggressive trade expansion. Experts suggest that while consumer boycotts impact retail products, industrial imports are less affected. Additionally, global currency depreciation may have made Indian goods more expensive. Analysts caution that more time is needed to assess whether this trend will persist. Improved political relations could help restore India’s trade position, while China continues to leverage competitive pricing and marketing strategies to strengthen its foothold in Bangladesh.
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